This Billion Dollar Bet On Oil Prices Falling Was Placed Just Hours Before Trump’s Ceasefire
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Errr, yeah, definitely not some insider trading happening here…
Investors put about $950 million dollars (dollars) into bets on oil prices falling just hours before US and Iran announced a ceasefire and oil prices did indeed fall.
8,600 lots on Brent and US crude futures were sold for a massive profit. And this might not seem unusual at first but to place massive lots like this in bulk is unusual.
Does it mean there’s something fishy going on? Is Donald Trump himself sat on Polymarket every night trying to make a killing?
We saw this before back in March when investors sold $500 million in oil futures 15 minutes before Trump delayed attacks on Iran’s energy places and oil had a massive drop again.
And we saw a similar thing even before then when Maduro got captured. Here:
An anonymous crypto gambler netted almost half a million on a bet that Maduro would be out just two days before he was ousted by Trump and if you can smell something fishy with that then you might just have a future in law enforcement.
Just five hours before the kidnapping, the secret better doubled down on their bet, implying that he (OR SHE) may have been privy to some of that tasty, tasty insider information.
The account was only one week old at the time of the bet and sure, maybe this brand new user got very lucky and cashed out immediately then disappeared, or…
OR
Or they knew something that no one else did.
Well, people are taking note and in response to this story, Democrat Richie Torres announced a bill to crack down on government officials trading on prediction markets.
Maduro? more like, U Mad Bro?
It might be an uphill battle however as it seems that the powers that be paved the way for said insider trading.
As Futurism explains: “Back in October, Reuters reported that the Trump Media and Technology Group was working with Crypto.com to implement prediction market functionality into Truth Social. That came as dozens of federal investigations into crypto-based price fixing, securities fraud, and regulatory noncompliance have been dropped at the Trump administration’s urging. Two of those cases were against prediction platforms Polymarket —the very same implicated in the Venezuela allegations — and Kalshi, for selling options contracts related to congressional elections.”
Yep, this one goes all the way to the top.
Let’s circle back to this story in a couple years when it all comes out that Trump himself made the bet and is laughing all the way to the bank.
Latest news
-
Bill Fold - April 9, 2026
This Billion Dollar Bet On Oil Prices Falling Was Placed Just Hours Before Trump’s Ceasefire
-
Pen Smith - April 8, 2026
Next Gen AI Is “Too Powerful” For General Public Says Anthropic, But Is It All Hype?
-
Ima Short - April 7, 2026
OpenAI Still Can’t Turn A Profit Until “At Least” 2030 Despite $121b AI Spending In 2028







































































































